Decision Ledger

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Decision Ledger
calibrated forecasts, scored over time
connecting…
Reversibility (the 40/70 check)
Add rigor (optional)

Get calibrated before you have a track record. These are synthetic questions with known answers — they train the skill of assigning honest probabilities. Kept entirely separate from your real decisions.

Binary drill
Rate how likely each statement is true. Scored by Brier + calibration.
90% interval drill Hubbard
Give a low–high range you're 90% sure contains the number. You should be right ~90% of the time.